"The Solution: How to Deal with Obama Middle-East Policy" by Barry Rubin It is likely that the efforts of the Obama Administration during its second term will fail, not only because of its lack of understanding of the region and its ideology, but also due to the specific agenda.
No Middle Eastern country (only hostile ones or movements) can depend on the United States. And to clarify this further: No country -- including Israel -- can depend on the Obama Administration.
But as I noted above, this U.S. policy of Obama’s second term will fail. For example, the main goals of the second term are four big issues:
--Israel-Palestinian peace
--Egypt government coalition with Muslim Brotherhood
--Syrian civil war resolution with rebel victory
--U.S.-Iran rapprochement resolving nuclear issue.
Yet because of irreconcilable differences, these may well be unresolvable. Due to such failures and hardline radical positions (Palestinians, Muslim Brotherhood, Syrian Islamists and regime, Iranian regime), the next administration would probably be forced back on recognition of extremism, support of allies, and U.S. interests.
Yet because of irreconcilable differences, these may well be unresolvable. Due to such failures and hardline radical positions (Palestinians, Muslim Brotherhood, Syrian Islamists and regime, Iranian regime), the next administration would probably be forced back on recognition of extremism, support of allies, and U.S. interests.
Thus, regarding the “peace process,” we may well see the typical pattern in which the Palestinians wreck the peace process by rejecting or demanding even more concessions. Once again, it will only be necessary to wait until American negotiators learn better why their goals are impossible. Radicals will just raise their demands and demonstrate their anti-Americanism, and necessary priorities will shift.
